Kaspa Price Warning: Low Volatility Never Lasts

Kaspa has gone into one of its silent times in recent years, but the past tells us that such a time never lasts too long. The data provided by Kaspa Daily reveals that the 30-day annualized volatility of the Kaspa network has decreased to 78.1%, which is way lower than its historical average of 104.6%. At the start of the cycle, the same measure was 191.9%. 

Low volatility does not tell traders which direction the next move will take. It simply means price swings have narrowed. In crypto markets, those periods often come before much larger moves.

The KAS Price Is Still Trading Below Key Resistance

We had a look at the Kaspa daily chart, and the broader trend remains bearish. The KAS price is trading around $0.02798, up 0.76% on the day after moving between $0.02756 and $0.02861.

The bigger picture has not improved much. Kaspa traded close to $0.15 during late 2025. Since then, the KAS price has dropped 81.3%, and thus, it is currently trading at prices close to the lowest seen on the chart.

The 100-day simple moving average stands at $0.03282, meaning that KAS is currently trading at prices 14.7% below that mark. The moving average itself has been decreasing since January 2026, making the overall market trend negative for buyers.

Several attempts to reverse the downtrend have been made. In particular, a rally in March saw Kaspa rise from around $0.038 to $0.06, and in April, the token moved from $0.03 to $0.045. However, both rallies were unsuccessful, as they resulted in new lows.

Read Also: Here’s Where Kaspa (KAS) Price Could Go This Week

Kaspa Network Upgrade Could Bring Short-Term Attention

The Kaspa network is also going through a scheduled upgrade. HTX confirmed it will suspend KAS deposits and withdrawals at 14:00 UTC on June 29, ahead of the network upgrade expected around 16:15 UTC. 

Spot trading will continue normally, and the exchange stated that no new token or chain split will result from the upgrade. Temporary deposit pauses like this are standard practice during blockchain upgrades. Exchanges use them to avoid processing transactions if blocks become unstable during maintenance. 

HTX plans to reopen deposits and withdrawals once the upgraded network is considered stable, although it will not publish a separate announcement when services resume. Traders will also be watching whether other exchanges announce similar temporary suspensions over the next few days.

Where Could the KAS Price Go Next?

The KAS price remains in a clear downtrend, but volatility has fallen sharply and momentum indicators are beginning to improve. That combination often appears before larger price swings return. It does not guarantee a rally, though it does indicate the quiet trading conditions are unlikely to last indefinitely.

On the buying side, defending $0.0275 and taking back the 100-day moving average at $0.03282 would represent the first major improvement for the buyers in months. If the sellers manage to break below support, then $0.025 and $0.020 become relevant targets.

For now, Kaspa looks stuck in a struggle between negative downward momentum and bearish market structure. It will take a breakout to settle this battle.

FAQs

Is Kaspa still a proof-of-work cryptocurrency

Yes. Kaspa uses a proof-of-work consensus mechanism designed to support high transaction throughput through its BlockDAG architecture.

Will the Kaspa network upgrade create a new token

No. The scheduled upgrade does not include a chain split or the creation of a new cryptocurrency. Existing KAS holders will continue using the same token after the upgrade.