Crypto analyst Steph Is Crypto has issued a strongly worded outlook on XRP, describing the current market phase as a decisive moment for the asset.
In an X post that read “XRP FINAL CALL”, he highlighted what he described as widespread bearish sentiment across the broader crypto landscape, noting that XRP trades near $1.10 at the time of recording.
In his accompanying video commentary, Steph described current market conditions as difficult. He noted the combination of weak price action and ongoing negative sentiment.
He specifically referenced XRP and XLM, stating that despite what he sees as strong underlying developments, price performance has remained under pressure. He also suggested that many market participants appear to be positioning defensively as the asset continues to consolidate near multi-month support levels.
Steph placed significant emphasis on XRP’s daily chart structure, identifying a long-standing ascending trend line that he says has been in place since mid-2024. According to his analysis, XRP has tested this level multiple times, including a prior bounce that preceded a strong upward move toward $2 and $3.
He noted that XRP is currently on a third touchpoint of the trend line, arguing that the market is still technically holding support. In his view, there is no immediate justification for a bearish outlook as the price remains above this level. However, he also stated that a breakdown below the trend line would shift his perspective and open the door to lower price targets.
A central part of Steph’s analysis focused on XRP’s six-month timeframe, in which he highlighted a recurring historical pattern involving consecutive red candles. He pointed out that the current six-month candle, combined with the previous one, represents the second consecutive red period.
According to his interpretation of historical data, XRP has rarely printed more than two consecutive red six-month candles without a subsequent recovery phase. He referenced past examples from 2015, 2018, and 2019, in which similar patterns were followed by significant upside moves ranging from triple-digit gains to multi-year bullish expansions.
Steph suggested that if the current six-month candle closes in the red, historical behavior could indicate a relief move afterward. He described possible scenarios, including a recovery rally of over 100 percent, followed by either another corrective phase or the start of a broader bullish cycle.
Despite acknowledging ongoing weakness, Steph maintained that XRP’s position on key support levels remains the defining factor in his short-term outlook. He stated that, in his view, there is limited justification for a bearish stance while the asset holds its current technical structure.
He characterized the present phase as one of extended downside pressure, but suggested it may be approaching exhaustion based on historical cycle comparisons. At the same time, he cautioned that the timing of any potential recovery remains uncertain, with no clear indication of whether a rebound would occur in the immediate short term.
The analysis concluded that XRP is positioned at an important inflection point, where historical patterns, long-term support, and current sentiment converge.
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